![]() ![]() Recent polls suggest that Democrats are favored to keep control of the Senate narrowly, while losing control of the House, also narrowly. This possibility offers reason to wonder whether Democrats are really doing as well in the midterm elections as the conventional wisdom holds. (I explained the problem in more depth in a 2020 article.) #NYTIMES APP HOW TO#If that’s true, polls will often understate Republican support, until pollsters figure out how to fix the problem. One factor seems to be that Republican voters are more skeptical of mainstream institutions and are less willing to respond to a survey. ![]() In each of these states - and some others - pollsters failed to reach a representative sample of voters. In Ohio, the polls pointed to a tight race instead, Trump won it easily. The polls also showed Biden running comfortably ahead in Wisconsin, yet he won it by less than a percentage point. The polls reported that Biden had a small lead in North Carolina, but he lost the state to Donald Trump. IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY,įITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT.The final polls in the 2020 presidential election overstated Joe Biden’s strength, especially in a handful of states. #NYTIMES APP SOFTWARE#THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in allĬopies or substantial portions of the Software. To use, copy, modify, merge, publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sellĬopies of the Software, and to permit persons to whom the Software isįurnished to do so, subject to the following conditions: In the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights Of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), to deal #NYTIMES APP FREE#Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, to any person obtaining a copy If this project help you reduce time to develop, you can give me a cup of coffee :)
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